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4Sight Holdings - 4Seeing excellent growth

 

Motheo Tlhagale

4Sight, established in 2017 and headquartered in Mauritius, is a technology firm specialising in digital transformation. Harnessing technologies such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML), big data analytics, and the Internet of Things (IoT), 4Sight caters to diverse sectors including telecommunications, mining, manufacturing, and financial services.

Since its inception, 4Sight has expanded primarily through strategic acquisitions. A key milestone was the acquisition of Foursight South Africa in 2018, significantly enhancing its market presence. Subsequent acquisitions include Visualitics, Fleek Consulting, SET, AGE Technologies, and AccTech Systems. In 2022, the company divested from Digitata as part of a strategic realignment to sharpen its focus on digital transformation services and expand its technological capabilities.

A cornerstone of 4Sight's strategy is the development of proprietary technology, enabling it to remain competitive in a dynamic tech landscape. By integrating acquired technologies and fostering synergies across its business units, 4Sight aims to deliver comprehensive, scalable solutions tailored to evolving client needs. While its operations are primarily based in South Africa, the company is expanding into new markets, including French-speaking African countries and the Asia-Pacific region, with Australia also identified as a key growth frontier.

Company products

The company reports across four clusters, namely Channel Partners (CP), Operational Technologies (OT), Information Technologies (IT), and Business Environment (BE).

    • The CP Cluster is 4Sight's 100% partner-focused ecosystem, dedicated to distributing and supporting AI solutions on behalf of international software vendors such as Microsoft and Sage.
    • The OT Cluster offers essential industrial OT simulation, automation, and optimisation solutions, enhanced by AI technologies, empowering customers to undergo digital AI transformation by leveraging modern AI technologies.
    • The IT Cluster is dedicated to driving digital AI transformation of Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) accounting, human resource management, payroll, Customer Relationship Management (CRM), business process management, data visualisation, reporting, dashboards, and secure, cost-effective cloud solutions on demand
    • The BE Cluster converges IT and OT through an enterprise data management layer, application modernisation, and modern workplace services, all designed to facilitate informed decision-making. 4Sight focuses on maximising cloud capabilities, optimising and modernising environments and applications, and automating business processes to enhance intelligence.

Digital transformation solutions

4Sight offers a comprehensive suite of digital transformation solutions designed to enhance operational efficiency and business outcomes. Its AI and ML solutions provide advanced analytics for predictive maintenance, customer insights, and decision support. IoT platforms and connected devices enable real-time monitoring, asset management, and smart manufacturing, facilitating seamless integration and operational efficiency. Big data analytics solutions focus on data collection, processing, and analysis, deriving actionable insights to drive informed decision-making. Additionally, 4Sight's cloud services offer robust infrastructure, seamless migration, and efficient management, enhancing scalability and flexibility for businesses navigating the digital landscape.

Enterprise solutions

4Sight provides a range of enterprise solutions designed to optimise business operations and enhance efficiency. Its ERP systems streamline business processes and improve resource management, ensuring smoother and more efficient operations. CRM systems are tailored to enhance customer engagement and sales management, fostering stronger relationships and improving sales outcomes. Additionally, 4Sight offers integrated supply-chain management solutions that provide comprehensive visibility, boost efficiency, and effectively manage risks, ensuring a resilient and agile supply chain.

Industry-specific solutions

4Sight delivers a range of industry-specific solutions designed to meet the unique challenges and demands of various sectors. By leveraging advanced technologies such as digital twins (virtual replicas that enable real-time monitoring, analysis, and optimisation of physical assets), IoT, and analytics, 4Sight optimises operational processes, enhances efficiency, and ensures safety across different industries. Its tailored solutions provide comprehensive support for network optimisation, customer experience management, and data-driven decision-making.z

Leadership and shareholder structure

    • Tertius Zitzke has been serving as Chief Executive Officer (CEO) since December 2019 and has over 31 years of experience as a business leader in the Information and Communication Technology (ICT) sector.
    • Eric van der Merwe, with over 20 years of experience in financial management, has been serving as the Financial Director since November 2019.
    • Kamil Patel has been the Non-Executive Chairperson since January 2020. He is currently CEO of Rentsolutions, one of the largest asset rental companies in Mauritius and is an independent director of RHT Holding, which is listed on the Mauritius Stock Exchange. He is also the former CEO of the DÖlberg group.

Industry and competitive dynamics

The technology industry, especially in digital transformation and Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR) solutions, is fast-paced and fiercely competitive, driven by an unrelenting demand for innovation. To maintain its competitive edge, 4Sight has forged strategic partnerships with leading technology providers like Microsoft, Sage, and Nozomi Networks. These alliances not only strengthen 4Sight's product portfolio but also enable access to new customer segments and support its expansion, particularly in the African mining sector. By aligning with key players, 4Sight is positioning itself as a leader in delivering specialised solutions that bridge traditional industries with cutting-edge technologies.

The competitive landscape includes global giants such as Accenture, IBM, SAP, Cisco, and Honeywell, each bringing deep expertise across areas that overlap with 4Sight's offerings. Accenture's consulting leadership, IBM's strengths in AI and cloud, SAP's dominance in ERP, Cisco's cybersecurity and IoT capabilities, and Honeywell's role in industrial automation all present formidable challenges. Yet, among these, Accenture stands out as the primary competitor due to its consulting-centric model, while others often serve as partners rather than direct rivals.

Despite this intense competition, 4Sight differentiates itself through its ability to deliver agile, cost-effective, and tailored solutions. Its focus on convergence, integrating diverse technologies into unified systems, sets it apart. This approach allows 4Sight to operate with a leaner cost structure and offer more competitively priced solutions than many larger players.

Sustainability and automation are also key elements of 4Sight's strategy. 4Sight is committed to reducing its carbon footprint and helping partners and customers do the same, particularly in sectors like mining that are transitioning to cleaner energy sources. The focus on automation and AI enhances business processes and efficiencies, exemplified by solutions like 4flow and 4MIA. These solutions automate processes, ensure compliance, and provide actionable insights, driving operational excellence. 4Sight's IoT solutions, including the 4IoT Commercial IoT platform, enable real-time equipment monitoring and operational uptime, further supporting businesses in their digital transformation journeys.

4Sight maintains a diversified customer base, with no single client contributing more than 1% of total revenue. The company is financially well-positioned, with cash reserves earmarked for strategic, complementary acquisitions aligned with its core focus. Funds have also been allocated to innovation initiatives, supporting the development of proprietary IP to complement its service offerings.

4Sight has a lean but effective international presence. It deploys field workers in Australia without plans to establish full-scale offices and operates across Africa through channel partners and third-party agreements, limiting operational exposure. The company is also leveraging regional incentives, especially in French-speaking African countries, through its partnership with Microsoft, supporting its broader strategy for regional expansion.

Financials

    • 4Sight changed its year end to February from December in FY24.
    • For the 14 months ended 29 February 2024, revenue grew 58% over FY22 to reach R1 billion. We believe there is still room to grow revenue quickly over the medium term. Additionally, recurring revenue of about 60% is expected to increase to about 70% over time.
    • Profitability also improved. Operating profit increased by 77% and the operating margin expanded. Headline earnings more than doubled. Management has indicated that there is still room for margin expansion - particularly as revenue grows outside of South Africa (with billings typically in US dollars).

    • The company's financial position is very strong. The only debt on the balance sheet at year end was a loan on property that would have been settled throughout the year. Management will consider taking on debt only if a compelling opportunity presents itself.
    • Return on equity (ROE) has improved from 5% in FY20 to 11% in FY24, indicating a positive trend in underlying profitability. The improvement in ROE signals that the company is likely utilising its equity capital more effectively. We would expect a continued improvement over time.

    • Looking ahead, 4Sight is projected to achieve an ROE of 35% by 2028. This forecast underscores our expectation that investments in customer growth, workforce upskilling, and proprietary technology will translate into sustainable returns over time. High ROEs are typical of technology firms like 4Sight. As an example, Accenture has delivered an average ROE of about 30% over the last five years.

Summary investment case

    • 4Sight offers a wide range of digital transformation solutions that feeds into some major technological themes, including AI, IoT, big data analytics, and cloud services. Being this diversified also helps meet a wide spectrum of requirements from clients.
    • The company prioritises environmental, social, and governance (ESG) imperatives, particularly evident in their offerings for the mining sector, which heavily prioritise sustainability.
    • With the increasing demand for digital transformation solutions across industries, 4Sight has significant opportunities to expand its market reach both domestically and internationally.
    • 4Sight has established strategic partnerships with leading technology providers like Microsoft, Sage, Nozomi Networks, and Acronis, allowing them to offer cutting-edge solutions and enhance their market position.

Risks

    • The technology sector is highly competitive, with numerous players offering similar solutions. Increased competition could potentially erode 4Sight's market share and margins.
    • Economic downturns or geopolitical instability could impact business investment decisions, leading to reduced demand for 4Sight's services and solutions.
    • While strategic partnerships are a strength, overreliance on these partnerships may expose 4Sight to risks associated with changes in partner strategies or market dynamics.
    • The company operates numerous smaller business units, and this fragmented structure can lead to inefficiencies and a lack of cohesion in executing its long-term strategic goals.

Outlook and valuation

4Sight Holdings is well-positioned for continued growth, driven by its strong portfolio in digital transformation technologies like AI, IoT, and big data analytics. The company's focus on expanding into new markets, including French-speaking Africa and the Asia-Pacific region underscores its growth outlook. 4Sight's strategic investments in proprietary technology and partnerships with companies like Microsoft and Sage support a positive outlook.

From a valuation perspective, 4Sight's ROE has shown encouraging progress, increasing from 5% in FY20 to 11% in FY24. Its forward-looking strategy, centred on innovation and market expansion, positions the company to deliver strong long-term returns.

We applied multiple valuation methodologies to determine the fair value of 4Sight Holdings. Our Free Cash Flow to Equity, Price-to-Earnings, and Price-to-Book models all indicate significant upside potential, suggesting that 4Sight is currently undervalued.

Presently, the stock is trading around R0.74, ~45% lower than the calculated fair value of R1.34

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