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Financial planning

Overview

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Flash Notes

Flash Notes

April manufacturing output down by 6.3% y/y, reflecting continued challenges

Manufacturing output (not seasonally adjusted) declined sharply by 6.3% y/y in April, following a revised 1.2% contraction (previously -0.8%) in March. Seasonally adjusted output rose by 1.9% m/m, though this fell short of fully reversing the 2.5% monthly decline recorded in March.

10 June 2025

Flash Notes

Modest GDP growth in 1Q25

03 June 2025

Flash Notes

Retail sales starting to show signs of strain

21 May 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation ticks up slightly in April

21 May 2025

Flash Notes

Mining production decline extends into March, dragging on 1Q25 GDP growth

Mining production (not seasonally adjusted) declined again in March by 2.8% y/y after falling by 9.7% y/y (previously -9.6%) in February. This marked five successive months of annual decline. Seasonally adjusted mining output expanded by 3.5% m/m, reflecting a rebound from a 4.1% monthly decline, better than the previously recorded fall of 4.4%.

15 May 2025

Flash Notes

1Q25 QLFS: Employment momentum weakens

13 May 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation slows in March

23 April 2025

Flash Notes

March manufacturing output down 0.8% y/y and 2.2% m/m, weighs on GDP growth

23 April 2025

Flash Notes

Mining production slumps sharply in February, pointing to a weak 1Q25 GDP contribution

15 April 2025

Flash Notes

Manufacturing output weakness extends into February

Manufacturing output (not seasonally adjusted) declined by 3.2% y/y in February, matching the contraction recorded in January, though slightly revised from an initial estimate of a 3.3% decline.

10 April 2025

Flash Notes

Jobs created in the formal economy in 4Q24

25 March 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation remains unchanged in February

19 March 2025

Flash Notes

GDP growth rebounds in 4Q24, but reflects broad-based weakness in 2024

04 March 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation edges up at the start of 2025

26 February 2025

Flash Notes

4Q24 QLFS: Another positive print, but more growth is needed

The Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS), a household-based employment survey (not seasonally adjusted), reflected an increase in total employment during 4Q24 by 131 669 q/q, following an increase of 293 840 in the previous quarter. The level of unemployment declined by 19 573 q/q, bringing the total number of unemployed individuals to 7 990 947.

18 February 2025

Flash Notes

Mining output contracts in December, clouding 4Q24 GDP outlook

13 February 2025

Flash Notes

Manufacturing output ended 2024 on a weak note

11 February 2025

Flash Notes

Mining output retreats in November

25 January 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation at the bottom of inflation target band

22 January 2025

Flash Notes

November retail sales exceed expectations

After a solid 6.2% y/y in October, retail sales accelerated further to a robust 7.7% growth in November, significantly outpacing the Reuters consensus expectation for a 5.5% increase. Excluding the disruptions caused by Covid-19 and the July 2021 riots to the data, this marks the strongest print in approximately 14 years (since June 2010).

22 January 2025

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Disclaimer

This Publication note is issued by FNB for the information of clients only and should not be produced in whole or part without prior permission. Although FNB is an Authorised Financial Services Provider, any opinions and/or analysis contained in this Publication are for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice, including but not limited to financial, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to invest in any security or to adopt any investment strategy. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources/persons which we believe to be reliable. Still, it is not guaranteed for correctness, completeness or otherwise. We do not assume liability for loss arising from errors in the information or that may be suffered from using or relying on the information contained herein, irrespective of whether there has been any negligence by us, our affiliates or any other employees of ours, and whether such losses are direct or consequential. As market and economic conditions are subject to rapid change, any comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as of the date of publishing and may change without notice. Such changes may have a material impact on the outcome of any investment. Securities involve a degree of risk and are volatile instruments. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Securities or financial instruments mentioned in the Publication note may not be suitable for all investors, and FNB bears no responsibility whatsoever arising from or as a consequence thereof. The material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any share, instrument, sector, region, market, country, investment or strategy. The recipient of this Publication must make their own investment decision and is advised to contact their relationship manager for a personal financial analysis before making any investment decisions. Copyright 2023.

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