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Financial planning

Overview

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Flash Notes

Flash Notes

Mining production decline extends into March, dragging on 1Q25 GDP growth

Mining production (not seasonally adjusted) declined again in March by 2.8% y/y after falling by 9.7% y/y (previously -9.6%) in February. This marked five successive months of annual decline. Seasonally adjusted mining output expanded by 3.5% m/m, reflecting a rebound from a 4.1% monthly decline, better than the previously recorded fall of 4.4%.

15 May 2025

Flash Notes

1Q25 QLFS: Employment momentum weakens

13 May 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation slows in March

23 April 2025

Flash Notes

March manufacturing output down 0.8% y/y and 2.2% m/m, weighs on GDP growth

23 April 2025

Flash Notes

Mining production slumps sharply in February, pointing to a weak 1Q25 GDP contribution

Mining production (not seasonally adjusted) declined sharply by 9.6% y/y in February, following a downwardly revised 1.5% contraction in January (previously -2.7%). The February outcome was notably weaker than expectations, surprising to the downside by 5.8 percentage points (ppts) relative to the Reuters consensus forecast of a 3.8% decline. Excluding gold, mining output fell by an even steeper 10.0% y/y.

15 April 2025

Flash Notes

Manufacturing output weakness extends into February

10 April 2025

Flash Notes

Jobs created in the formal economy in 4Q24

25 March 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation remains unchanged in February

19 March 2025

Flash Notes

GDP growth rebounds in 4Q24, but reflects broad-based weakness in 2024

04 March 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation edges up at the start of 2025

Headline inflation was 3.2% y/y in January, up from 3.0% in December. The print was in line with our and the market expectation. Monthly pressure was 0.3%, led by contributions from core and food inflation.

26 February 2025

Flash Notes

4Q24 QLFS: Another positive print, but more growth is needed

18 February 2025

Flash Notes

Mining output contracts in December, clouding 4Q24 GDP outlook

13 February 2025

Flash Notes

Manufacturing output ended 2024 on a weak note

11 February 2025

Flash Notes

Mining output retreats in November

25 January 2025

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation at the bottom of inflation target band

Headline inflation lifted slightly to 3.0% y/y in December, remaining at the lower end of the inflation target band, from 2.9% in November. The print was slightly below our and the market expectation of 3.1% and 3.2%, respectively. Monthly pressure was 0.1%, reflecting slight contributions from fuel and food inflation. Headline inflation averaged 4.4% in 2024, down from 6.0% in 2023.

22 January 2025

Flash Notes

November retail sales exceed expectations

22 January 2025

Flash Notes

The formal economy sheds jobs in 3Q24

12 December 2024

Flash Notes

Consumer inflation remains below the inflation target band

11 December 2024

Flash Notes

Manufacturing output rebounds marginally in October

Flash Notes

Mining output: Sustained annual growth in October

Mining production (not seasonally adjusted) grew by 1.4% y/y in October, marking a deceleration from the revised 4.9% y/y increase (previously 4.7%) recorded in September. This result fell short of the Reuters consensus forecast of a 2.9% rise. Seasonally adjusted, mining output, critical for quarterly GDP calculations, contracted by 3.0% m/m, indicating a weak start to the fourth quarter.

10 December 2024

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Disclaimer

This Publication note is issued by FNB for the information of clients only and should not be produced in whole or part without prior permission. Although FNB is an Authorised Financial Services Provider, any opinions and/or analysis contained in this Publication are for informational purposes only and should not be considered advice, including but not limited to financial, legal or tax advice, or a recommendation to invest in any security or to adopt any investment strategy. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources/persons which we believe to be reliable. Still, it is not guaranteed for correctness, completeness or otherwise. We do not assume liability for loss arising from errors in the information or that may be suffered from using or relying on the information contained herein, irrespective of whether there has been any negligence by us, our affiliates or any other employees of ours, and whether such losses are direct or consequential. As market and economic conditions are subject to rapid change, any comments, opinions and analyses are rendered as of the date of publishing and may change without notice. Such changes may have a material impact on the outcome of any investment. Securities involve a degree of risk and are volatile instruments. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Securities or financial instruments mentioned in the Publication note may not be suitable for all investors, and FNB bears no responsibility whatsoever arising from or as a consequence thereof. The material is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding any share, instrument, sector, region, market, country, investment or strategy. The recipient of this Publication must make their own investment decision and is advised to contact their relationship manager for a personal financial analysis before making any investment decisions. Copyright 2023.

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